Matthew’s Substack

Matthew’s Substack

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Matthew’s Substack
Matthew’s Substack
Trade Breakdown

Trade Breakdown

(save your risk for A+ setups)

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Matthew Ryan
Jan 31, 2023
∙ Paid
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Matthew’s Substack
Matthew’s Substack
Trade Breakdown
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The game within the game is MANAGING UNCERTAINTY.

The human brain does a poor job at managing uncertainty because we were designed, by evolution, to react to the tiger in the jungle with an emotional response.

"Oh shit run!"

The problem is that the brain cannot tell the difference between the tiger in the jungle and you risking your capital in the market. Two different circumstances, same result for the brain:

"oh shit run!"

While everyone is looking for CERTAINTY in the market (spoilers: it does not exist), I think we should be looking for what is the LEAST UNCERTAIN.

That is why I designed The Study. It is the highest probability trade you can take, without having the capital to move the market yourself.

Here is how I managed uncertainty on SPY today:

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